Null and exploratory,
published alike

Null · Resolution Limited 2025 · OSF Amendment 11
H3: Ionospheric TEC Anomaly Detection (IONEX Baseline)

Walk-forward analysis of ionospheric Total Electron Content (TEC) anomalies preceding M6.0+ seismic events across all five Sentinel fault zones, using 25 years of IONEX Global Ionosphere Map data (2001 to 2025). 45,651 feature rows processed via INSPIRE methodology (Pulinets et al., 2021). Pre-specified threshold: AUROC ≥ 0.52 in ≥ 2 of 5 systems. Results: Cascadia 0.5618 (CONFIRMED_UNSTABLE, CI: [0.44, 0.67]), Japan Trench 0.5010 (NULL), Central Chile 0.4758 (NULL), North Anatolian 0.4823 (NULL), Sumatra-Andaman 0.4846 (NULL). 1 of 5 systems met threshold; 2 required. H3 NULL. GitHub commit 0d4f77e.

Classified as a resolution-limited null. IONEX GIMs operate at 2.5°×5° spatial resolution with 2-hour temporal updates, too coarse to resolve the fault-zone-proximal ionospheric signatures the LAIC chain produces at 10 to 100 km scales. Individual folds produced high AUROC values (Sumatra-Andaman Fold 1: 0.8213, Japan Trench Fold 3: 0.7977), consistent with episodic signal too localized to survive IONEX averaging. This result establishes the IONEX measurement floor and motivates high-fidelity ionospheric data in the next phase.

Exploratory 2025
H2: GPS Deformation, Five Fault Zones

The GPS deformation pipeline processed 2,746 TENV3 station files (48,858 daily rows). Overall result: null under the pre-specified threshold. The North Anatolian zone returned AUROC 0.714, the only zone above the 0.65 threshold. With five zones tested, a single-zone exceedance is classified as exploratory. It informs the single-region design of the next phase and is treated as a candidate for prospective testing.

GPS Deformation AUROC H2 · 2,746 stations
Dashed line: pre-specified threshold (AUROC 0.65). One of five zones above threshold; exploratory.
Exploratory 2025 · Amendment 3
HAC Pipeline: Flood & Landslide Pre-Event Temporal Signal

Amendment 3 stratified analysis of the human anomalous cognition intake pipeline returned Bonferroni-significant pre-event temporal signals: flood at day −1, landslide at days −5 and −1, across five catalogued hazard types. Results committed to GitHub and filed to OSF under the pre-specified protocol. Classified as exploratory pending prospective replication.

Null 2025
H4: Multi-Stream Convergence

Walk-forward convergence analysis returned null under the pre-specified threshold. Geomagnetic stream: Kp, Ap, F10.7, and Dst, 9,131 daily rows across five fault zones. A re-run is planned with high-fidelity ionospheric data.

Null 2025
H1: Walk-Forward Seismic Precursor Analysis

Walk-forward analysis of the H1 seismic precursor hypothesis returned null under the pre-specified protocol: 0 of 5 zones met threshold.

Locked before
any result is examined

Active 2024 to present
Project Sentinel: Pre-Registration v1.0 and Amendments

Primary pre-registration for the multi-stream study spanning geophysical, environmental, and human anomalous cognition domains across six hazard types: earthquake, flood, volcanic, avalanche, landslide, and tsunami. Amendments are filed as the study evolves, including walk-forward methodology (1), expanded event catalog (2), stratified temporal analysis (3), and the H3 ionospheric result (11). The next-phase benchmark design is described in the Sentinel technical plan.

Blind Collection · v1.3 2025 to present
MMNRS: Multi-Modal Noetic Research Study

Pre-registered blind study conducted with the IRVA Research Unit, testing whether Remote Viewing, Map Dowsing, and Dream Analysis produce spatially convergent signals over an undisclosed search target. Three-participant convergence threshold, Bonferroni correction, and submit-first, disclose-second sequencing. Research Coordinator: J. Tulloss. Project Lead: A. Weatherston (Augur Management).

OSF (Pending)

Why this question
warrants study

The record of anomalous human cognition spans cultures and centuries, and decades of controlled laboratory research. The SRI remote viewing program, the PEAR laboratory at Princeton, the Ganzfeld meta-analyses, and the Global Consciousness Project produced results that current theoretical frameworks cannot fully explain.

Their integration into mainstream science stalled for lack of infrastructure to test them at scale, under the same pre-registration standards as any other empirical domain. Global sensor networks, cloud computing, and AI now make that possible.

Effect sizes across these programs are small to medium (d ≈ 0.2 to 0.4). Statistical significance here reflects the scale of replication, independent of effect magnitude.

SRI Remote Viewing · 1972 to 1995
p < 10⁻¹⁹
Probability if chance alone (Utts, 1995)

Utts (1995) peer-reviewed assessment of 26,000+ SRI/SAIC trials concluded: "Using the standards applied to any other area of science, psychic functioning has been well established." Results far beyond chance; methodology soundly vindicated.

Utts, J. (1995). Prepared for the U.S. Government CIA/DIA review of the Stargate program. Published in Journal of Scientific Exploration, 9(3), 3–30. SRI / SAIC Stargate Program · Government-commissioned · 1972 to 1995
Ganzfeld · Bem & Honorton (1994)
32%
Hit rate vs. 25% chance
Chance
25%
Observed
32%

Meta-analysis across 28 autoganzfeld studies: z = 6.6, p = 2.8 × 10⁻¹⁰. Replication has varied: Milton & Wiseman (1999) found weaker effects in a non-autoganzfeld subset, while Storm et al. (2010) found continued significance across a broader meta-analysis.

Bem & Honorton (1994) · Psychological Bulletin · z = 6.6
PEAR Laboratory · 1979 to 2007
28 yrs
Princeton Engineering Anomalies Research

Princeton's engineering anomalies laboratory documented micro-PK and remote perception effects across nearly three decades of peer-reviewed experimentation.

Princeton Engineering Anomalies Research · 1979 to 2007
Global Consciousness Project · 1998 to present
7σ+
Cumulative network deviation

Across 500 formally defined events over 20 years, odds against chance for the composite outcome exceeded one trillion to one. About 70 globally distributed REG devices show correlated deviation coincident with major world events. Mean effect per event is small (~0.3σ) and can only be assessed cumulatively.

Nelson, R. & Bancel, P. (2011). Explore, 7(6), 373–383. Nelson, R., Radin, D., Shoup, R. & Bancel, P. (2002). Foundations of Physics Letters, 15(6), 537–550

The methodological
commitment

The work proceeds without first resolving the hard problem of consciousness. Whether anomalous cognition arises from quantum coherence, non-local field effects, or something else entirely, the methodological question stays the same: does it produce detectable, reproducible, statistically characterizable signal, and can that signal translate into practical benefit?

Science can answer that question with pre-registered hypotheses, open infrastructure, null-result transparency, and convergence testing across independent data modalities. Each evidence tier is scored on its own standard and never pooled into a single score.

We avoid
  • ✗Advocating for a conclusion before the data is examined
  • ✗Selectively reporting results that confirm a hypothesis
  • ✗Treating prior precedent as resolved proof without replication under our own pre-registered methodology
  • ✗Lowering methodological standards because the questions are unconventional
We commit to
  • ✓Locking hypotheses and analytic protocols before any data is examined
  • ✓Publishing null results with the same rigor as positive findings
  • ✓Building infrastructure any independent reviewer can audit
  • ✓Testing human intuition and environmental data against real-world outcomes at scale

Version-controlled,
open to audit

01
GitHub Repository

Pipeline code, analysis scripts, and documentation: HAC intake, GPS deformation, geomagnetic ingestion, and convergence scripts, with full commit history.

synexisproject-bit →
02
BigQuery Datasets

GCP project synexis-project-sentinel. Four datasets: hac_intake, sentinel_features, sentinel_groundtruth, sentinel_analysis, with documented schema and Cloud Run ingestion.

Schema docs →
03
OSF Project Registry

Pre-registrations, amendments, and filed results are independently timestamped on the Open Science Framework, giving any reviewer verifiable hypothesis lock dates.

OSF Registry →